2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the last four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to take care of the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about yesteryear, they're centered on the sport taking place.
The German squad have not beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We get more info can't reverse time, ignore about it, the past doesn't play a role in your planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is Germany has not won against Italy inside a major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as these are the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong manner about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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